Data vs gut-feel in decision-making

How do you make decisions for your business? Do you rely on numbers or to your intuition? In this age where information is vast and several tools are available in measuring them, many companies turn to data in helping them come up with plans and strategies for their businesses.

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It cannot be denied, however, that there are entrepreneurs who gained resounding success for listening to their business instincts. But with resources, people and many other things on the line, you cannot afford to take a huge risk and decide on something that cannot deliver the expected result.

There are pros and cons when deciding based solely on data available or listening only to what your gut is telling you. The key is a balance of both. There are times when you need to take into consideration one over the other but it is helpful not to discount the other in the process of arriving at a resolution.

Data-gathering may take a lot of time, effort and resources. While numbers can scientifically provide a basis in forecasting what is to happen, there are other factors involved that data cannot fully capture. Since businesses always involve people, emotions and other influences may come into play that data may not be able to completely predict. That’s where gut-feel comes in. Certain decisions have to be made instantaneously and your instinct and hunch can guide you to making a good one. The downside with intuition is that it is more of a hit or miss thing, which can lead to either great achievement or a huge failure.

Numbers may sound cold but logic can provide a greater probability. On the other hand, perception and gut-feel will provide the warmth and may up your chances for success. Here are some instances of how looking at both methods can be advantageous in decision-making.

Spotting trends and patterns

Consumer behaviour can be plotted and measured, which can allow you to see patterns on how trends come and go. Data will provide you with a rationale on how the market moves and allow you to see the next things that may happen. However, how things will unfold cannot be foreseen fully by the numbers. Changes in human habits are unpredictable because people’s feelings are not based on logic. You need to have a good grasp of your market through experience and relationships, which may be able to complete the picture that data can partially provide.

Getting feedback

Surveys are prevalent nowadays, especially with modern technology, as they can be administered online. It’s a good way to get feedback from your clients and prospective customers. But it can only gather limited information as you may not fully know the rationale as to why participants gave such answers. But if you communicate effectively with your market and you interact with them regularly, you will be able to comprehend why they behave in a certain way. Knowing them well will enable you to get their pulse which graphs and pie charts may not be able to entirely provide.

Planning strategies

You can craft your strategies and tactics based on scientific facts. It may save you unnecessary losses as it will help you efficiently match the need and demand of the market rather than taking a shotgun approach and make you overpromise what you can do or underpromise and limit your capability. But there will be times when experience and right judgment may give you a better lead than what data can offer. You can inject some creativity and ingenuity in your strategies based on your gut-feel and good perception.

Putting your faith in your intuition may pose an enormous risk. But going into business is a risk in itself and only those who are courageous can truly achieve success. However, you can take a calculated risk when you back your judgment with data. That will increase your odds towards success.